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media

The Flash Wars Continue

May 28, 2010 7:33:27.000

Engadget quotes the NY Post:

Sources said several large media companies, including Time Warner and NBC Universal, told Apple they won't retool their extensive video libraries to accommodate the iPad, arguing that such a reformatting would be expensive and not worth it because Flash dominates the Web.

Well - the Flash war won't end anytime soon with that news. That certainly leaves a space for HP (Palm) and Google, if they can create compelling tablets. Of course, that's a big if. The interesting thing that's not mentioned: Microsoft isn't even part of this game...

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posted by James Robertson

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The Great Invisibility Experiment

May 27, 2010 7:06:52.556

People have been telling Ruper Murdoch to put up or shut up for awhile - meaning, if he really thinks that "Google is stealing his content", he should just use robots.txt to cut off access to his news sites. Well - it seems that he's going to try that experiment:

The papers, which plan to start charging users for access to their newly redesigned Web sites in late June, will prevent Google and other search engines from linking to their stories. Although they are not the first papers to erect pay barriers around their content, the papers are going a step further by making most of their site invisible to Google's Web crawler. Except for their homepages, no stories will show up on Google.

I have no idea how they expect anyone to find their material after that. It's not like the old days, when you would walk out, get the paper off the driveway and browse - now you find things via:

  • Search
  • Friend referrals (Twitter, Facebook, etc)
  • Automated Search (Google News, Yahoo News, etc)
  • RSS/Atom (not the mainstream, but a lot of influencers)

Notice what's not on that list - directly visiting the site. Oh sure, there are people who go to media sites directly (I'll go to the NY Times for baseball coverage, for instance). But I don't think it's the primary way it happens. Within a month, I expect that traffic will drop off precipitously at these outlets, and Murdoch will end up executing a painful climb down from his idiotic "Google is stealing from me" mindset. It won't just be painful though; it will be costly. Whatever rates he's getting for ads now will plummet with the traffic levels.

When you look up the phrase "bad plan" in the future, you'll run across an item about this as the prime example...

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posted by James Robertson

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Hulu Plus: Stillborn?

April 22, 2010 11:15:21.255

Looks like Hulu's plan to charge for a premium service might not make it out of the gate - ABC (Disney) is undermining the value:

Citing industry sources, Kafka said that Hulu CEO Jason Kilar "tried desperately to get ABC not to introduce its free app," because ABC giving away free content makes subscription-based access to Hulu on the iPad seem less valuable. ABC obviously did not place much weight behind Kilar's concerns, as the network's streaming application was available on the iPad from day one, and has found great success.

Obviously, ABC is only one content provider - but other networks are going to be pressured into doing the same thing - just like all other digital media, the price tends to fall towards zero. Hulu will need a new plan.

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posted by James Robertson

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The iPad will not Save Old Media

April 3, 2010 20:02:16.703

I agree with John Dvorak on this one - the iPad will not be the salvation of old media (newspapers and magazines). Why not?

No matter that you are not reading these journals now. For some unexplained reason you'll want to read them on the iPad. How does that make any sense?

Exactly. The problem is the content, not the medium. The old media guys haven't figured that out yet, and it looks like they never will.

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posted by James Robertson

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